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NFL Week 10 is here and we picked the winner of every game

DeVonta Smith gets set for a play against the Los Angeles Chargers.
DeVonta Smith.
  • NFL football is back for another week of action.
  • Through nine weeks, our picks are 70-65-1 against the spread.
  • This week we're backing the Eagles, Chargers, and more to cover the number.

Football is back for another week of action.

Last week, our picks against the spread went a solid 8-6 to extend our season-long record a little further above .500.

This week, we're back with another full slate of games and looking to make a buck or two. Take a look below at our best bets against the spread for Week 10 of the NFL season (* indicates home team).

OVERALL: 70-65-1

Miami Dolphins* (+7.5) over Baltimore Ravens
Jaylen Waddle walks on the field during a game against the Houston Texans.
Jaylen Waddle.

I'll be honest, I was initially on the Ravens in this one, but after taking a look at all my picks, I was way too loaded on favorites and needed to find some home underdogs to take. Miami was the best one I could find.

Play this one tentatively, but the Ravens have been playing a bit above expectation and have only won by more than a touchdown twice all season, despite having six wins to their name.

Buffalo Bills (-11) over New York Jets*
Josh Allen gets set to pass against the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Josh Allen.

After an absolute no-show against the Jaguars last week, it feels like the Bills come out firing against a divisional opponent that's been juggling quarterbacks for three weeks now. Josh Allen is still the co-leader in the MVP race, and Sunday is a great chance to make his case.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-9.5) over Washington Football Team*
Tom Brady celebrates a touchdown against the Chicago Bears.
Tom Brady.

The Buccaneers are coming off of a bye week. The week before that, they were walloped by a Saints team down to their third-string quarterback. They're well-rested and playing with something to prove. Meanwhile, Washington hasn't scored more than 13 points in a game in more than a month.

Dallas Cowboys* (-8) over Atlanta Falcons
Dak Prescott celebrates after throwing a touchdown pass against the Denver Broncos.
Dak Prescott.

This is another bounce-back good spot for a good team that played terribly last weekend. If this game were in Atlanta, I might be a bit more concerned, but after putting up a stinker in front of the home crowd in Dallas last weekend, the Cowboys should be eager to put on a show.

Detroit Lions (+8) over Pittsburgh Steelers*
Jared Goff gets set to pass against the Philadelphia Eagles.
Jared Goff.

The Lions have to win a game eventually right? The Steelers have won four straight games despite Big Ben still being a statue in the pocket. After Pittsburgh skated away with a somewhat controversial win over the Bears last weekend, it feels like karma might catch up with them.

Jacksonville Jaguars (+10) over Indianapolis Colts*
Trevor Lawrence hands the ball off to Carlos Hyde against the Buffalo Bills.
Trevor Lawrence.

Believe it or not, the Jaguars have won two of their last three games. The Colts are a more interesting mess than they were earlier in the season, but they are still a mess. Last week the Jets nearly covered through the backdoor despite trailing 42-10 with 20 minutes left to play. Even if the Colts are controlling the game, expect the backdoor to be open again.

Cleveland Browns (+2.5) over New England Patriots*
D'Ernest Johnson makes a run against the Denver Broncos.
D'Ernest Johnson.

The Browns might be without lead running back Nick Chubb against the Patriots, but D'Ernest Johnson has already shown that he can carry the load when called upon. The Patriots defense has been pretty stingy of late, but I trust the Browns to get it done.

Tennessee Titans* (-2.5) over New Orleans Saints
Ryan Tannehill goes under center for the Tennessee Titans.
Ryan Tannehill.

The Titans might be due for a let-down after their big win over the Rams, but if anything, Tennessee showed last week that their season is far from over despite the loss of superstar running back Derrick Henry. This should be a close game, and for those  picking a side, the under might be a smart play.

Arizona Cardinals* (-10.5) over Carolina Panthers
James Conner breaks free against the San Francisco 49ers.
James Conner.

Cam Newton is back in Carolina, but the Panthers still have to get through this week's game putting the pieces together at quarterback.

The Cardinals are in pole position in the NFC and with just one bye week come playoff time, they need to win every game they can to hold onto the top spot. They've got plenty to play for, while the Panthers might already be looking at what things will look like next week.

Los Angeles Chargers* (-3) over Minnesota Vikings
Justin Herbert steps back to pass against the Philadelphia Eagles.
Justin Herbert.

The Chargers' rushing defense is a major concern, but they are the better team with the better coach and the better quarterback. Coin flip game, but I trust Justin Herbert over Kirk Cousins right now.

Philadelphia Eagles (+3) over Denver Broncos*
DeVonta Smith gets set for a play against the Los Angeles Chargers.
DeVonta Smith.

The Broncos are due for a let-down after last week's beat-down of the Cowboys. The Eagles nearly beat the Chargers last weekend and looked far friskier than they have all season. Go birds.

Green Bay Packers* (-3.5) over Seattle Seahawks
Aaron Rodgers warms up ahead of a game against the Washington Football Team.
Aaron Rodgers.

Full disclosure, I would not bet this game. With Russell Wilson playing his first game back from a hand injury, and Aaron Rodgers playing his first game back from COVID-19, it's tough to know how either quarterback is going to look.

That said, we have to pick a side, and after the whirlwind week Rodgers has had, it feels like he's going to put up some absurd numbers so he can get back to talking about football.

Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5) over Las Vegas Raiders*
Patrick Mahomes warms up ahead of a game against the New York Giants.
Patrick Mahomes.

The Chiefs have been one of the worst teams in the NFL against the spread the season, but I can't help thinking they are going to put it together at some point. This is a must-win game for Kansas City in a crowded AFC West.

Los Angeles Rams (-3.5) over San Francisco 49ers*
Cooper Kupp makes a play against the Tennessee Titans.
Cooper Kupp.

The Rams looked like a mess last week against the Titans, but somehow, the 49ers looked worse against the Cardinals. San Francisco has just got nothing going for them right now, while the Rams are still a great team en route to a potential championship. My only concern with this game is that it feels too obvious, which to be fair, is sometimes a good reason to stay away.

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NFL Week 10 is here and we picked the winner of every game
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